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Trends and ForecastsI. Arrivals
The total number of tourist inbound trips shall rise from 15.7 million in 2006 to around 19 million in 2012 and 2013. We assume some changes in structure of inbound tourism: in terms of generating countries (chart 2 and 3) as well as in purposes of visits. Leisure and business trips are supposed to grow faster than transit, shopping-oriented and VFR trips (chart 4). Significant growth can be seen in use of commercial accommodation (chart 5). Chart 1. Tourist arrivals to Poland
source: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2007)
Chart 2. Tourist arrivals to Poland by main markets
sources: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2007)
Chart 3. Tourist arrivals to Poland from non-adjacent countries of 15 EU
source: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2007) Chart 4. Tourist arrivals to Poland by purpose of visit
source: surveys and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2007)
Chart 5. Arrivals of residents and non-residents in collective accommodation
source: Central Statistical Office and forecast by Institute of Tourism (X 2007)
Chart 6. Receipts from international arrivals
source: Central Statistical Office and forecast by Institute of Tourism (X 2007)
II. Forecasts of domestic and outbound tourismChart 7. Trips made by polish residents
source: surveys and forecast by Institute of Tourism
III. Other data important for tourism1. Exchange rates of USD and Euro in 2000-2007 (monthly averages)
source: Central Bank od Poland (NBP) [ http://www.nbp.pl ] 2. Business economic cycle in services – section H „Hotels and restaurants”
source: Central Statistical Office 3. Business economic cycle in services – section H „Hotels and restaurants”– detailed 2006 and 2007
source: Central Statistical Office 4. Business economic cycle in services – SECTION I division 63, Group 63.3 „Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities”
source: Central Statistical Office Copyright © 1998 - 2007 Institute of Tourism
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