Instytut Turystyki
Polska


Trends and Forecasts

I. Arrivals

The total number of tourist inbound arrivals shall rise from 15.0 million in 2007, throughout weak 2008 and 2009 years, to around 13.2/13.3 million in 2012 and 2013. We assume some changes in structure of inbound tourism: in terms of generating countries (chart 2 and 3) as well as in purposes of visits. Leisure trips are supposed to grow faster than transit, shopping-oriented and VFR trips. Visits for business purposes have not fair prospects in two-year period, and then may grow again.


See also graphs on Exchange rates and Business economic cycle in services.

Chart 1. Tourist arrivals to Poland

source: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (III 2010)

 

Chart 2. Tourist arrivals to Poland by main markets

sources: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (III 2010)

 

Chart 3. Tourist arrivals to Poland from non-adjacent countries of 15 EU

source: estimation and forecast by Institute of Tourism (III 2010)

Chart 4. Tourist arrivals to Poland by purpose of visit

source: surveys and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2009)

 

Chart 5. Arrivals of non-residents in collective accommodation

source: Central Statistical Office and forecast by Institute of Tourism (III 2010)

 

Chart 6. Arrivals of residents and non-residents in collective accommodation

source: Central Statistical Office and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2009)

 

Chart 7. Receipts from international arrivals

source: Central Statistical Office and forecast by Institute of Tourism (XII 2009)

 

II. Forecasts of domestic and outbound tourism

Chart 8. Trips made by polish residents

source: surveys and forecast by Institute of Tourism

 

III. Other data important for tourism

1. Arrivals of non-residents in collective accommodation in 2009
(changes against a respective month of previous year)

source: Central Statistical Office (GUS)

2. Exchange rates of USD and Euro in 2000-2008 (monthly averages)


source: Central Bank od Poland (NBP) [ http://www.nbp.pl ]


3. Exchange rates of USD and Euro in 2007-2010 (details)

The chart is interactive – you can (using mouse) display values and customize needed period.

source: Central Bank od Poland (NBP) [ http://www.nbp.pl ]



4. Business economic cycle in services – according to new classification of activities (PKD 2007 - Polish version of NACE)

section I „Accommodation and food service activities”
and section N, group 79 „Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities”

The charts are interactive – you can (using mouse) display values and customize needed period.

source: Central Statistical Office 

The charts below contain archival data, according to old classification of activities (PKD 2004).

Business economic cycle in services – section H „Hotels and restaurants”

source: Central Statistical Office 

Business economic cycle in services – section H „Hotels and restaurants”– detailed 2007 and 2008

source: Central Statistical Office 

Business economic cycle in services – SECTION I division 63, Group 63.3 „Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities”

source: Central Statistical Office 


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Last modified: 05-III-2010